🎙️ TRUMP — He won't talk, but "very well" after ballistic missiles land on Haifa. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Trump's silence under pressure is a signal — not reassurance. Refusing to engage on an active missile campaign while calling it "very well" means he's either holding a card or managing optics before an announcement. Jerusalem reads non-condemnation as distance. Tehran reads it as a pause invitation. Neither reading is wrong.
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💻 GERMANY — Two incidents, two days apart — Moscow's sabotage tempo is accelerating. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Leipzig then a military base: the pattern suggests coordinated probing, not coincidence. German bases host US assets and NATO logistics for Eastern Europe. With Washington split between Gulf and Ukraine, Berlin faces pressure to harden
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🕊️ TEHRAN — Pezeshkian endorses the MOU while the IRGC just killed the same track. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: The IRGC declared Hormuz reopening a US political concession yesterday; Pezeshkian now publicly backs the MOU framework. That's a visible internal split, not a new offer. He can't deliver what Khamenei&
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⚓ HORMUZ — Six conditions designed to be rejected, not negotiated. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: The SNSC list—reparations, full sanctions lift, asset unfreeze, US naval withdrawal—isn't a negotiating floor, it's a veto dressed as diplomacy. No sitting US administration accepts reparations or full withdrawal as preconditions. Tehran just
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🏭 BELGRADE — Serbia becoming an Israeli drone manufacturer while EU membership talks continue. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Vučić, an EU candidate, is handing Israel a European drone factory mid-conflict. Brussels presses member states to restrict arms to Israel; Belgrade moves the opposite direction. Israel gains a production node outside EU embargo pressure.