Trump Says Iran War Nearing End as Ceasefire Odds Hit 65%
⏱️ TIMING — Trump signals an ending; Hormuz is still mined and Lebanon just reopened. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: "Hopefully" is not policy — but presidential signals shape market expectations and Tehran's negotiating calculus. With October 27 Israeli elections looming and SPR at 1983 lows, Trump has domestic incentives to signal resolution. The risk: Houthis, Lebanese front, and Iraqi militias operate outside any bilateral off-ramp Washington can deliver.
