Prediction Markets Give 39% Odds Hormuz Hits 60 Ships Daily by June 30
🚢 HORMUZ — Mines still in the water; markets already betting traffic returns. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Polymarket gives 39% odds for 60 daily transits by June 30 — that gap between political signal and physical reality is the trade. Hormuz mines uncleared, loadings near zero. Traders are pricing demining pace and Iranian cooperation, neither guaranteed. If June 30 passes with traffic suppressed, oil reprices up and the MOU's open-Hormuz narrative cracks.
