Polymarket Traders Doubt Hormuz Reopens Before End of June

📊 HORMUZ — Markets aren't buying June 19 as a Hormuz reopening date. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Polymarket shifting the reopening call past June 30 means traders are pricing implementation failure before Geneva happens. The MOU has no defined operational sequence — minefield removal, IAEA sequencing, Lebanon restraint all unresolved. Each day of delay compounds the SPR problem: Washington enters July with thin reserves and a Strait that still isn't open.