Polymarket Gives 70%+ Odds Iran Formalizes Hormuz Fees by End of August
🛢️ HORMUZ — The market is pricing in what diplomats won't say out loud yet. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Polymarket odds formalizing what AIS data already shows: IRGC informal toll collection is transitioning to permanent administrative control. If codified by August, it predates MoU expiry — locking in Iranian sovereignty claims before any nuclear deal can roll them back. Washington's window to contest Hormuz status narrows with every normalized transit.
