⏱️ DOHA — Tehran's counter-move means the MOU is back to a draft, not a deal. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Trump's post-Situation Room amendments broke the negotiators' text; Iran's counter-amendments confirm neither side owns a finalized document. Araghchi must now defend new language to hardliners already citing Pezeshkian's exit. Each counter-cycle hands Ghalibaf another veto window before any signature lands.
newsupdates
🛢️ SIDI KERIR — Aramco repricing signals the bypass route is no longer cost-free. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Suez-Med was the Hormuz bypass — now that route costs enough to force repricing, the workaround logic fractures. Asian buyers face higher premiums or switch suppliers, eroding Saudi share in its growth market. European refiners
newsupdates
⚓ MOSCOW — Moscow just told Tehran its navy matters, at the worst moment for Washington. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Putin validating Iran's fleet publicly while Oman negotiates Hormuz transit mechanics resets the leverage table. Moscow signals it won't let Tehran concede naval posture as a bargaining chip — complicating any
newsupdates
🛡️ JORDAN CORRIDOR — Same border, different air defense, same unanswered question. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Jordan intercepted two drones hours ago with no attribution. Now Israel activates near the shared border — two states, one corridor, zero claimed responsibility. During the pause, this pattern matters: sequential intercepts along the Jordan axis suggest either Houthi
dailybrief
US strikes paused, Netanyahu lands in Washington. Trump calls Iran talks "friendly" — Tehran says no talks exist. Brent hovers near $97. The real negotiation plays out today in the Oval Office.