⚔️ TEHRAN — Iran's military chief pledges blood revenge as Doha's clock runs. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Hatami's vow isn't for Washington — it's for the IRGC. With Mojtaba absent and hardliners accumulating authority, a public revenge pledge raises the cost of any MoU signature. Iran's Doha delegates can't de-escalate against a military chief demanding vengeance. The 60-day window doesn't pause for funerals.
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🏭 BELGRADE — Serbia becoming an Israeli drone manufacturer while EU membership talks continue. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Vučić, an EU candidate, is handing Israel a European drone factory mid-conflict. Brussels presses member states to restrict arms to Israel; Belgrade moves the opposite direction. Israel gains a production node outside EU embargo pressure.
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⚓ RIYADH — Saudi condemnation matters less than what Riyadh does next. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Riyadh calling the ADNOC strike an "assault on maritime security" is the strongest GCC signal since the attack — but words without action let Tehran gauge how far it can push. Saudi Arabia is co-architect of
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💥 HORMUZ — Iran just hit a UAE ship hours after Abu Dhabi hosted corridor talks. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: The ADNOC strike is the sharpest signal yet that the IRGC controls the Strait regardless of diplomatic tracks. UAE is Washington's Gulf anchor and Hormuz corridor host — hitting its national oil company&
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⚓ HORMUZ — The IRGC just severed the diplomatic track everyone was trading on. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Oman's framework assumed corridor terms would unlock passage. The IRGC now says reopening is a US political concession, not a technical negotiation. That splits the process: Oman can't deliver what Tehran'