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Mon · 21 Sep 2026

China Manufacturing Stalls in May as Middle East Energy Costs Bite

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China Manufacturing Stalls in May as Middle East Energy Costs Bite

🏭 BEIJING — China's factory floor is where Gulf energy costs land hardest. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Two months of expansion reversed by energy-driven cost pressure signals the conflict's economic transmission belt is working. China imports ~11M bpd — much of it Gulf crude now rerouted or priced with war premium. Flat PMI means margin compression, not just sentiment. Beijing's tolerance for prolonged Hormuz disruption has a factory-floor floor — and May's data suggests it's being tested.

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