🎖️ JERUSALEM — The most extreme voice in Netanyahu's coalition just said the quiet part loud. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Ben Gvir holds no operational command, but his statement signals the coalition ceiling Netanyahu cannot publicly cross. If Israel's security cabinet reads the MOU as non-binding, Trump cannot deliver Iranian compliance — Tehran's condition was a Lebanon halt. Ben Gvir just handed IRGC hardliners their best veto argument in 24 hours.
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🇺🇳 UN PREMISES — Israel raids a UN site; Brussels demands answers. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Raiding a UN site in East Jerusalem — not a combat zone — directly tests Brussels' tolerance threshold. The commissioner's demand has no enforcement mechanism but compounds EU-Israel friction already pushed by Gaza and Smotrich'
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⚓ HORMUZ — Trump declared it demined; Iran just sent a warship to prove otherwise. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: An IRGC warship intercepting a transiting vessel directly falsifies Trump's demining claim — made hours ago. Insurers won't reopen coverage with live interdiction on record. The escort corridor exists on paper; this
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🛢️ ENERGY — Six months in, US exporters are winning a war Europe is losing. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Qatari LNG locked out of Hormuz for six months has quietly restructured the global gas market. US export terminals filled the gap — at a price premium Europe had no choice but to absorb. Now stocks
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🎙️ TRUMP — He's invoking protesters while Rubio privately promises no new strikes. 📌 LOOK CLOSER: Regime-change language is the one framing Tehran cannot negotiate with. Trump calling out Iranian repression publicly — to Al Jazeera's regional audience — pressures Pezeshkian's faction, which needs domestic legitimacy to cut